Chamber News

It is widely expected that U.S. tariffs against Canada could come into effect in the coming two weeks. Although the President gave a series of seemingly contradictory answers on Wednesday about his tariff plans, the President has today clarified via a Truth Social post that the proposed tariffs against Canada and Mexico will take effect on March 4 as planned.

At this moment, it remains unclear whether a negotiated settlement will be reached that forestalls the March 4 tariffs. As it now appears likely that there will be U.S. tariffs placed against Canada in the near future, businesses should take the necessary steps to prepare for potentially disruptive U.S. trade measures as well as retaliatory measures by Canada.

To support your preparations for these coming measures, please see below updates on 1) key upcoming U.S. tariffs measures, 2) the Canadian federal government’s plans for retaliation, and 3) recent Chamber initiatives responding to the threat of tariffs.

1) U.S. tariff updates

1. Across-the-board tariffs (25%) & energy tariff (10%) – likely taking effect on March 4. President Trump confirmed on Monday that tariff plans would be moving forward on schedule. It was widely reported on Monday that the President was here referring to the 25% tariffs on Canadian goods & 10% tariffs on Canadian energy, which were delayed until March 4 pending a “final economic deal” after Canada agreed to introduce new security measures related to the border. However, the White House has clarified that the President was referring to the reciprocal tariffs, which are separate. Whether the 25% tariffs on Canadian goods & 10% tariffs on Canadian energy will take effect on March 4 is reportedly “pending negotiations” according to the White House, although the President has indicated via Truth Social on February 27 that they will be coming into effect as scheduled. We are engaging our partners in the U.S. as well as the government to gather the latest intel on this.
   1. See the Canadian Chamber’s Business Data Lab’s analysis of the economic implications of a 25% across-the-board import tariff: What the Return of the “Tariff Man” Means for the Canadian and U.S. Economies - Business Data Lab
2. Steel and aluminum tariffs (25%) – taking effect on March 12. On February 10, President Trump “restored” Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum that the U.S. had imposed in 2018, raising the aluminum tariff rate to 25% to match the steel tariff rate. According to the President, the tariffs will go into effect on March 12. The U.S. Federal register notices for tariffs on steel and aluminum have now also been published. These include extended lists of targeted derivative products. Notably, the scope products covered is substantially larger than the scope of products covered in the steel and aluminum tariffs from 2018. Even if your exports were not impacted by U.S. tariffs in 2018, it is important to verify whether your businesses might be impacted by the latest tariffs by checking the tariff codes in the federal register notices. Many downstream products likely will be impacted (e.g. auto parts, furniture, gym equipment, etc.)
3. Reciprocal tariffs – taking effect after April 1. On February 13, the President issued a Presidential memo calling for reciprocal tariffs on all U.S. trading partners. The stated objective of this policy is to counter “non-reciprocal trading arrangements” that the U.S. views as unfair to its commercial interests. Unfair trading arrangements are here defined very broadly, and the accompanying White House fact sheet specifically identifies Canada’s digital services tax (DST), and value added taxes (VATs) as issues warranting action. The memo does not set out a specific time frame for new tariffs, only that there should be investigations into non-reciprocal arrangements starting as early as April 1.
   1. The European Commission has published a helpful Q&A regarding the U.S. reciprocal tariff policy. Finance Canada is looking into sharing similar guidance.
4. Potential tariffs on autos, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors (around 25%). On February 18, President Trump said at a press conference that he intends to impose auto tariffs "in the neighborhood of 25%" and similar duties on semiconductors and pharmaceutical imports. According to the President, the tariffs on autos could take effect as early as April 2, whereas he did not provide dates for other tariffs.

2) Canada’s retaliatory measures & tariff remissions

On February 1, in response to the initial U.S. tariffs targeting Canada, the Canadian Federal government announced its plans to implement a multi phase retaliatory tariff plan. This plan was paused on February 3 following the U.S. tariffs being delayed until March 4. It will be important to become familiar with the Canadian government’s February 1 retaliatory tariff plan as these measures very likely will be applicable in the event of U.S. tariffs coming into effect next week. The government has also indicated that it may adopt additional non-tariff retaliatory measures, including measures affecting critical minerals, energy, procurement and “other partnerships.”

• Retaliatory tariff plan. The first phase of the tariff response plan announced on February 1 included tariffs on $30 billion in goods imported from the U.S. This list can be viewed here, and includes products such as orange juice, peanut butter, wine, spirits, beer, coffee, appliances, apparel, footwear, motorcycles, cosmetics, and pulp and paper. The second phase of the plan includes tariffs on an additional list of imported U.S. goods worth $125 billion. A full list of these goods will be made available for a 21-day public comment period prior to implementation and will include products such as passenger vehicles and trucks, including electric vehicles, steel and aluminum products, certain fruits and vegetables, aerospace products, beef, pork, dairy, trucks and buses, recreational vehicles, and recreational boats. 
  • For more details regarding the mechanism for the implementation of retaliatory tariffs, please review the Customs Notice regarding Canada’s initial set of retaliatory tariffs issued on February 1.
• Tariff remission. Finance Canada outlined a discretionary remission process for Canadian importers that might have been impacted by Canada’s retaliatory tariffs. The webpage for the remissions process has since been taken down but likely will be re-established soon. The remission process applies to the first round of Canada’s retaliatory tariffs and any subsequent rounds. The Canadian government is considering requests for remission in these two instances: 1) Situations where goods used as inputs cannot be sourced domestically, either on a national or regional basis, or reasonably from non-U.S. sources; and 2) To address, on a case-by-case basis, other exceptional circumstances that could have severe adverse impacts on the Canadian economy. In granting a remission order, the Government of Canada will weigh public policy reasons in the factual circumstances against the policy rationale of the retaliatory tariffs. Questions regarding remission requests can be shared directly with Finance Canada at fin.remissions-remises.fin@canada.ca.
• Private sector feedback on Canada’s retaliatory measures. Finance Canada is planning to hold a consultation on the broader list of retaliatory tariffs. However, they are also interested in hearing concerns from businesses now, in advance of the formal consultation. They may use any early feedback they receive to tweak their lists and measures. If there are any concerns that you have regarding the impacts of Canada’s retaliatory measures on your business that you would like the government to be aware of, please share with us at your earliest convenience.

3) Recent Canadian Chamber initiatives in response to tariffs

• Washington D.C. Manufacturing & Supply Chains Mission – March 5-7, 2025: A strategic mission bringing together Canadia-US industry leaders to strengthen supply chain resilience and advocate for Canadian manufacturing interests in the face of evolving trade realities. View the agenda here.
• All-in Canada Plan. The Canadian Chamber has published a multipartisan All-In Canada Plan that addresses the critical roadblocks that have until now left us dependent on trade with the United States. Among other priorities, such as internal trade barriers, the plan calls for the government to reconvene Parliament so that all parties can get back to work on behalf of Canadians at this critical time.
• Canada-U.S. Trade Tracker. The Canadian Chamber’s Business Data Lab has developed a Canada-U.S. Trade Tracker that delivers real-time data and actionable insights, equipping businesses and policymakers to defend and strengthen North America’s most important trade partnership
• U.S. Tariff Exposure Index. The Canadian Chamber’s Business Data Lab has developed a U.S. Tariff Exposure Index that determines the U.S. tariff risk level of the 41 largest cities in Canada, reflecting both a city’s U.S. export intensity and its dependence on the U.S. as a key export destination. Users can interact with the Index to quickly find relevant information for each of Canada’s 41 Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs) with populations over 100,000, including local GDP, population figures, trade values, and the number of companies in the city that export to the U.S.